Printed odds, not a calculator
A calculator needs a real probability. This game publishes labels. Until luck, pity, and border rules are official, multiplying “1 in 40,000” by a luck pass is a story, not math.
- Gold pattern
- About x100 denominator
- Examples
- 3 pairs
- Pity
- Not published
- VOID
- A modifier, not a rate
The linked rarity guide records three Normal/Gold denominator pairs. The luck guide describes a panel fit, not an effective drop-probability formula. This page provides reference labels, not predictions of a player's next roll.
The only repeated pattern
On 22 October 2026 three cards were seen as both Normal and Gold. In each pair the Gold denominator was about 100 times the Normal one. Rainbow and VOID do not have a matching pair count.
| Card | Normal label | Gold label |
|---|---|---|
| Marching Drummer | 1 in 75 | 1 in 7,500 |
| Iron Fist | 1 in 80 | 1 in 8,000 |
| Cutpurse | 1 in 400 | 1 in 40,000 |
What you can still compare
You can sort the 60 Normal labels from common to rare on the cards page. You can see that Epic is not one odds band: Stone Warden is 1 in 2,000 and Halberdier is 1 in 40,000. You cannot turn Lucky’s “x1.5 luck” into a new denominator. The pass does not say how luck points map to the printed number, and VOID’s “1 in 1,000,000 rarer” is a modifier on top of a base label.
Watch a real match
RussoPlays: A 1 in 250,000,000 roll in Roll A Stickman. A rare pull shown with a printed 1 in 250,000,000 label. Context for odds, not a VOID proof.
Questions
How many rolls for a 1 in 40,000 card?
Unknown. The label is not a promise of one success per 40,000 rolls, and pity is not published.
Does x1.5 luck mean 1.5 times the chance?
The pass says x1.5 luck. It does not say the printed denominator is divided by 1.5.
Related
Sources
- Third-party reference: guides/rarities/ (checked 2026-10-24)
- Third-party reference: guides/luck/ (checked 2026-10-24)
Editorial contact: [email protected].